Thursday, March 19, 2009

Outraged at the Outrage

OUTRAGE
I’m outraged! No, not at AIG for following through on its contractual obligation to pay retention fees to its employees. No. I’m outraged at the ribald public sentiment. I’m furious at the cavalcade of vituperative admonishment, issued en mass by the American populous, and directed at an injured company for its attempts to motivate valued employees whose obligation it is to fix a system which had suffered a structural failure.

Well, perhaps my diction is spiced with a bit of hyperbole. Indeed, there are valid reasons to be upset ($165 million sounds a bit excessive, and the timing for such a payout is exceedingly poor with regards to public sentiment) but there are also valid reasons, NOT to be upset. After all, is the real value of the bonus actually considered “large” by financial industry standards? Or is it relatively modest or average? Recall that actors and professional athletes earn comparable sums. However, most importantly, $165 million is a infinitesimal sum when compared to the $182 BILLION which the government has issued as a bailout.

Let’s see… plugging that into Excel yields…that’s 165,000,000 divided by 182,000,000,000 equals 0.0009 or 0.09%. Less than zero point one percent. But let’s make these numbers more tangible.

WOULD YOU BE OUTRAGED IF…

1) You bought a new Dell laptop for $500 (after tax, etc.) and the final charged ended up being 500 dollars and 45 cents!

2) You bought a new Honda Civic for $15,505 (after tax, etc.) and a ten dollar surcharge was added to the final bill. $10!

3) The U.S. government said that a war in Iraq would cost $60 billion and it ended up costing $50,000 more. Wait, wait, wait…. The actual cost of the war (by the Pentagon’s own estimate in 2008 was $600 billion. That’s not 0.09% more, that’s 1000% more! And according to the Congressional Budget Office and other analysts cited in the same article, the final cost could be closer to $2 Trillion! That’s 3.3 MILLION PERCENT MORE! Now that's something to be a little irritated over. (sorry for all the caps).

REAL OUTRAGE

So, via point #3 above, if Americans are so outraged over 0.09% of a budget being poorly allocated, shouldn’t we be at least ten thousand times more outraged over the miss-estimation of funds allocated to the Iraq conflict? (that's 1000/0.09)

A final disjointed note: lexicographers will note that the word “bonus” has likely contributed to as much contention as any other aspect of this event. If the word “retention fee” had been used instead, we would likely all be less outraged, and more able to focus on what we really should be beside ourselves about.

A final, final note: the retention fee really is poorly timed and perhaps points to deeper systemic iniquities in the financial industry as a whole.

references:
http://www.cnn.com/2003/ALLPOLITICS/01/01/sproject.irq.war.cost/
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/19/washington/19cost.html?ref=world

Sunday, February 1, 2009

The Problem with Boehner and Why Republicans Need a New Tone.

John Boehner,current GOP House Minority Leader as of February, 2009, is problematic both for Barak Obama and for the United States. Through second-hand observations (news reports and radio interviews) I have concluded that the specific nature of our collective dilemma with regard to this individual is that he is essentially hostile, insidiously acrimonious; that is to say, subtly caustic, and all-together in essential opposition to the central driving premise underlying Barak Obama's (and by extension, OUR (the collective United States')) success: change.

Indeed, the most fundamental and practical nature of the change President Obama has sought is with the top-down governance of the United States, and in particular, with the tone, character, and spirit of the actors in the upper echelons of government.

In essence, what I am asserting in this preamble, is that John Boehner of the GOP is an unyielding partisan, incapable of compromise for the sake of the country, and retains the bitter residue of divisiveness and hypocrisy which drove the country and the Republicans into the ground.

Take, for example, this quote from NPR:

Asked whether the president is correct in saying that the long-running debating over big vs. small government is over, Boehner told NPR's Steve Inskeep, "I'm not sure that anyone knows exactly what he was trying to say... Clearly, in our society, there is a role for government. And by and large, liberals tend to believe that government's the answer for almost anything," Boehner said.
[end quote]

Boehner has also said on various news radio interviews (NPR and PBS's "The News Hour") that [paraphrasing] The Republicans have to show the country that we're the party of "better" ideas. BETTER ideas??? **BETTER** ideas??

It would be interesting if George Lakoff could examine each member of Congress and profile them based on the language and syntax they employ. (Hmm... that's a good idea... with the exception that much of the language a federal politician uses may be primarily rote talking points). In any event, I offer this brief analysis:

Boehner used the term "liberals". This is a term used to broadly categorize and lump together a large group of people and is often assumed by those who use it in this manner to have a negative connotation. This is a form of PREJUDICE. (see definitions below)

Then he engages in hyperbole by saying "that [they believe] government's the answer for almost anything." Really? So, if you're liberal of thought, then that means you're necessarily a bureaucratic extremist. One type of Conservative mind-set suggests that extremism can only be countered with extremism ("eye for an eye", and Bush's "War of Terror" are two examples of this). Therefore, it is reasonable to suggest that Boehner used hyperbole in order to justify the republicans and GOP taking a tactic of extreme opposition to the Democrats.

Third, Boehner's assertion that the Republic party should present "better" ideas. This statement is praiseworthy only from the perspective of one person trying to beat another in a contest. If Boehner was running for office against an opponent, and that was his slogan, then I would praise the offensive stance. However, Boehner is not running for office, he is leading an opposition party of government whose objective it must be to find avenues of compromise. The objective is not for the party to win, but for the country to win. By employing the word "better", Boehner's tone is confrontational and exclusive. That has been the tone of the Republican party as a whole, for over a decade. Win at all costs. Pass all of President Bush's bills and stand by all of his policies **just to win**. Boehner should have said "The Republicans will present different ideas which will be important for crafting legislation which is representative of all of America. I look forward to working with my esteemed Democratic colleagues to achieve this." Using the neutral adjective "different" rather than the biased adjective "better", would signify an intention to work together, rather than apart.

A final note: when Boehner said "I'm not sure that anyone knows exactly what he was trying to say..." with regard to President Obama's suggestion of finding a way to make government work, he was being divisive and confrontational yet again. So, no one in the United States or around the world can understand that sentence?

Perhaps it is a measure of Boehner's hypocrisy that he did not realize that President Obama was borrowing a theme from Ronald Reagan's first inaugural address on January 20th, 1981.

Reagan said: "Now, so there will be no misunderstanding, it is not my intention to do away with government. It is, rather, to make it work..." http://www.bartleby.com/124/pres61.html

Obama said: "The question we ask today is not whether our government is too big or too small, but whether it works." http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2009/01/20/president-obamas-inaugural-address/

But, perhaps there is no hypocrisy. Perhaps Boehner didn't understand what Reagan meant either.

In essence, Boehner's tone is prejudiced, extremist,confrontational, and mildly hypocritical.

Until Boehner's tone changes, he will be like Suraman at the end of "Lord of the Rings", a broken man with brankrupt ideas, but malevolent none-the-less, and capable of turning the weak-minded to malevolent thoughts. The Republicans who share this mind-set are beaten for now, but they remain a dark and looming cloud in the depths of Mirkwood, biding their time till they can strike again.

Instead, we should remember and hearken to the mantra of President Obama: unity through compromise, good-will, and mutual respect. If we dare to forge a new country, then Republicans should dare to forge a new tone.

prej⋅u⋅dice: –noun: 1. an unfavorable opinion or feeling formed beforehand or without knowledge, thought, or reason. 3. unreasonable feelings, opinions, or attitudes, esp. of a hostile nature, regarding a racial, religious, or national group.

Friday, November 21, 2008

The Creative Transformation of GM

This was a short essay I wrote for a creativity class over a month ago (October 15th) well before the present foray with the American auto companies. I think the last two sentences of this post are perhaps the most potentially useful to GM. In addition, though I did not mention it in the essay, GM *could* collaborate with Tesla motors, among others to create a reasonably priced, reasonably powerful electric car. Who knows?

* * *

Though General Motors was for many years one of the largest and most profitable automotive companies in the world, it has been on a steady decline in the latter half of the 20th century and into the beginning of the 21st. Although there are many factors which constitute and contribute to a company’s overall performance, from a customer’s perspective, it appears that a lack of creativity has stifled the automotive giant. In particular, with regard to changing demographics, environmental attitudes, and the comparatively adroit adaptation of the Japanese and European competitors, General Motors appears to be in need of a creative transformation. The creative changes listed below are in no particular order, but should be taken in concert.

Ignore the naysayers: While General Motors has been in competition with Chrysler and Ford it has also been in collusion. This is particularly true in its response to government regulation or externally imposed change. When Congress has mandated safety features or compliance with fuel efficiency standards, GM has felt it in their best interest to fortify its position with its U.S. competitors in order to oppose change and regulation. The result was, while GM stagnated and did not innovate, Honda and Toyota, assuming U.S. fuel efficiency standards would be imposed and mandated, did innovate and are now at least a decade ahead in technology and brand image. GM should ignore its traditional allies in this respect – even perhaps ignore members of its executive staff or board, and start moving of its own accord.

Nonlinear thinking: Once GM has freed itself to respond in a more dynamic fashion, non-traditional or non-linear thinking can more easily become part of its identity. GM could adopt just-in-time manufacturing methods as employed successfully by Dell computers. They could adopt more creative work practices which further encourage innovation and operational efficiency.

Go beyond traditional media: In order to refashion its brand image and build awareness for the new GM culture of innovation, non-traditional promotional methods may be useful. Ideas in this respect could include: more ads in theaters, perhaps a GM car featured in a James Bond movie, a GM amusement park ride, and perhaps a musical compilation of songs inspired by GM concept cars.

Be brave: In tandem with ignoring naysayers, GM should demonstrate a degree of corporate bravery by striving to be a leader of transportation technology. I believe the decline of the company may be attributed to a key cultural attribute: following rather than leading. It appears from a customer perspective that GM has been content to sit on its laurels and let other companies take risks and reap the rewards for the risks. GM must reenergize itself and not allow itself to be content with following industry trends. Rather, it should be the trend-maker. Bravery may also be a factor of a willingness to fail. Innovation and creativity may result in more frequent or more pronounced failures, but it is better to fail quickly and learn from one’s mistakes then to fail slowly without realizing one has made a mistake until it is too late.

Increase collaboration: GM could re-invent itself and increase its prospects for success by increasing its level of collaboration with other companies and with the customers. It is possible that GM could do something unique in car industry history by creating a new car which is the collaborative effort of one or more competitor car companies. Pooling knowledge, techniques, and resources could create something a step ahead of other competitors. Finally, GM should enlist the creativity of potential customers by involving them in the car design process. New car models could become “open-source” by allowing designs to be rendered by potential customers on the internet. The features of the car could be further customized online including colors, dash options, and financing.

Friday, October 10, 2008

Debunking the debunked

Though not strictly political in nature, global climate change is of immense interest to me. Understanding its fundamental components and encouraging dialogue (or polylogue?) with regard to its implications is an important step in accurately addressing the challenge it represents to human civilization and indeed life on Earth. The following is a brief comment I wrote with regard to an article posted on Yahoo news. The article suggested that planting trees in non-tropical latitudes could have a counter-intuitively negative effect on mitigating climate change. I disagreed, suggesting that that analysis was overly simplistic.

The concern cited in the article about trees actually raising temperatures near the earth's surface, is misleading and overly simplistic. 1) Global warming is an effect associated with heat not being able to radiate back into space (because it's trapped in the atmosphere). While a dark forest canopy will indeed raise surface temperatures, the carbon sequestered in the trees will reduce the over-all carbon content of the atmosphere, thus reducing the green house effect. 2) climate change is more than just about temperature. Species, plants, and animals will be greatly affected, particularly because they don't have air conditioners, and sunscreen to protect them from the changing ecosystem. Planting trees and forests is a very, very good thing because it improves the soil and air quality, it filters toxins in the environment and water supply, it provides shelter for many plant and animal species, some of which humans may depend on for our survival. Making our environment more robust is essential in preparing for the harsh effects of global warming and global climate change (a more accurate term). It would be nice if your articles in the future could address these complexities.

Friday, October 3, 2008

With Regard to the Economic Recovery Plan

This was first written on 09/29/08 (right after the first economic recovery plan was voted down in Congress)

First, economics can be counter-intuitive and misleading. For example, most people agree that a trade deficit is a bad? Surpluses are better than deficits, right? Well... (according to my admittedly limited economics studies) a trade deficit is not NECESSARILY a bad thing. In fact, another name for a trade deficit is a "Net Capital Inflow". Our trade deficit with China is their Capital Outflow. Suddenly, it doesn't sound quite so bad. What makes in inflow or outflow good or bad is how the capital or goods are invested (ie, the U.S. had a huge trade deficit when building the railroads, but the railroads energized our economy for decades).

What this suggests is that we are letting our PERCEPTION about matters influence our decisions. We (the U.S. citizen) are making an emotional decision (angry about bailing out rich CEOs) rather than a logical decision (banks are not lending to each other so we need to recapitalize them). One perspective is that we're not just bailing rich CEOs out, we're bailing ourselves out!

Finally, the the citizenry and representatives seem to be viewing this crisis from a victim perspective rather than a parent perspective. We are considering ourselves the victim of an unfair bailout rather than as the responsible parent whose job it is to take responsibility for a child's misdeeds, scold the child, make sure it doesn't happen again, and move on. We should scold the child (investment banks and those in Congress (primarily Republicans) who excessively pushed for deregulation and blocked attempts to regulate)(now we gotta regulate), but ultimately act responsibly, pay for the broken window, and pull the family together because in the end it's not just rich CEOs that depend on it - the American economy depends on it.

Update on 10/03/08: it subsequently became apparent that the world economy depends on it as well.

Continued update: 10/10/08: the economic crisis, now global in nature, is clearly beyond my ability to analyze accurately (from my computer arm chair.)

Introduction and Welcome

Though I have long had disdain for blogs and most other internet-based news and punditry sources (due to their high degree of anonymity, paucity of source referencing, high degree of opinion, and propensity for low density, highly dispersed readership), I have never-the-less arrived at the conclusion, that the over-all aggregate effect of blogs, particularly with the advent of enhanced search and key-word indexing advanced by Google that (breath), it may in fact be worth my time, as a concerned American citizen to add a voice of reasonable reason to the cacophony of bloggatry indicative of the democratic plurality which is the hallmark of this nation (and indeed globally, as it is the internet).

Furthermore, the lack of poignant and unapologetically objective analysis which is altogether lacking in the vast majority of American news outlets, has necessitated this outlet. While non “meanstream” media sources are often cited as being biased or slanted toward one political perspective, or they take great pains to be balanced (at the cost of having perspective), I should note that the views discussed in this blog are the product of rational, cogent thought, devoid of intentional alienation or strident advocacy. Political parties are symbols, non-tangible entities toward which our loyalty must not be blindly given if we truly value our freedom of thought. Rather, it is ideas, independent of the organization or person which espouses them, which should be the relevant basis of political discourse for the betterment of us all. (I should inject humor at this point).

To that extent, I welcome you (you who probably decided to stop reading after the second run-on sentence) to The Sandcastle Political Observer, an irregularly syndicated non-entity in the so-called journalistic sport of blogosphering. Why not blogocube, or blogocylinder? I’m not sure either. In any case, as our introduction has now concluded, our revels can begin.